Why Betting Systems Don’t Work In Casinos – A Historical Experiment By Michael Shackleford

There are two directions in gambling – all kinds of betting winbet2u systems that supposedly help players get an edge over a gambling establishment and optimal strategies that cannot have any effect on the percentage of the casino’s advantage and, as a result, will not help to win in any way.

However, this explanation does not satisfy everyone – there are quite a few players who are sure that betting systems still help to win. Let’s try to figure it out with a historical example. At one time, Michael Shackleford, the owner of the resource Wizard of Odds, decided to show his own example that betting systems do not work and cannot work. What came of it – below in the article.

Place And Time Of Action

At the dawn of the emergence of virtual gambling, namely in 1999-2005, Shacklford, known in certain circles, challenged everyone who was a supporter of all kinds of betting systems, offering bets. The financial conditions were, the way, very attractive – a bet of $ 20,000 against $ 2 on the fact that absolutely any opponent’s betting system would not show its effectiveness. To test this, a computer terminal was used.

Despite the interest of the community, for a long time no one categorically gave consent, and the reasons for the refusal were very different. Some were skeptical about the amount of bet at stake, while others argued that using a computer simulator would not provide correct and comprehensive results. There were also very curious proposals from resourceful people who initially offered to skate in games that provide an advantage to the client.

The proposal was relevant for a long time, and when many already gave up on the seeming impossibility of conducting such an experiment, a man appeared who was ready to oppose Shackleford with his money.

Year 2004 – a certain Daniel Reinsong entered the arena, who immediately offered to double the bet amount. Thus, the owner of the Wizard of Odds resource was betting $ 40,000, while his opponent was betting $ 4,000.

During the meeting, the opponent presented one more condition – they say, if Daniel wins, his opponent should tell about what happened on his website and provide recommendations to his book. Consent was obtained for everything, and the game began.

Is The Game Worth The Candle?

The bet was made according to all the rules. An agreement was signed with a notary, and the amount at stake was transferred to an independent third party. A few rules which the experiment was conducted:

  • Play the game with 2 decks.
  • On soft 17 the dealer no longer draws a card.
  • Double is allowed after split.
  • Split aces are missing.
  • Split can be done up to 4 hands on the box.
  • Sarrend is absent.
  • If the cards are split, another card will be dealt.
  • In a shoe, the dealer cuts off 1/4 of the cards.

Note that the rules are very clever, since this approach gives the casino an advantage of only 0.26% even without using any systems. By the way, according to the terms of the deal, the methodology, which, as it was stated, has nothing to do with the card account, cannot be disclosed. According to Daniel, only the results of scientific discoveries, attention in the field of genetics were used in its development! And this system made it possible to win over $ 8,000 in 33,000 hands.

As soon as the owner of Wizard of Odds learned about the essence of the methodology, he immediately received an offer – to refuse to continue betting and transfer half of the $ 40,000 at stake without settlements.

The Game Begins

A powerful PC was allocated for the bet, which took 14 hours to process a billion hands. This happened in October 2004, and the parties to the dispute monitored the bets in the process so that if things got completely wrong, the experiment was terminated early and the winner was identified.

Initially, the system really went in positive territory, but on the 170,000th hand it rapidly goes negative. The result is deteriorating very rapidly, and after 10% of the played hands, it became clear that it would be impossible to reach 0. Reinsong admits defeat and the bet ends.

So, briefly about the results:

  • In total, 10 million hands were played.
  • The number of bets made is 10.4 million chips.
  • Bankroll in the red: -30,400 in chips.
  • The house edge was 0.293%.

Actually, the numbers speak for themselves. If the experiment continued, the house edge would drop to 0.26%, but no betting system would help to win and overcome this advantage.

Meanwhile, the work of the opponent of the initiator of the dispute is sold on the Internet and is in certain demand. By the way, there were no more people willing to make a bet – despite the rather great public interest, no one wanted to risk their money. In 2005, the acceptance of bets ceased.

What Is The Bottom Line?

Despite the fact that the system showed a stable plus on the first hands, this does not mean that it has a right to exist and the most important thing that a participant in the dispute needs to do is to leave the casino on time. It’s just a matter of luck – if the experience is repeated, the bankroll can rapidly collapse into a minus, and the longer the game goes on, the more chances to drop, respectively, more.

Actually, it is still possible to achieve an advantage over a gambling establishment playing blackjack. You need an offline casino that offers favorable rules, you also need card counting skills and many professional tricks. All of the above has absolutely nothing to do with online casinos.

Actually, betting systems are useless, but optimal strategies show a certain result and help to achieve, sometimes, a tangible profit, if used correctly.


Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *